Critical uncertainty
A critical uncertainty is an issue whose development is uncertain and whose outcome could significantly change a decision or a system
What it means, how it is used and where it comes up, with its related concepts.
What it is and how it works
It is used in foresight to explore scenarios and prepare alternatives. It should be distinguished from a little-known variable that is irrelevant to the strategy. Identifying one requires assessing its impact and explaining why a single course of development cannot be assumed.
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