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Crisis Trends 2025 cover: two open hands covering a face, against a background of green leaves.

CrisisTrends 2025

The trends report we never wanted to write, but can no longer ignore.

Introduction

This is no time for neutrality or false balance. This report is born of a conviction: we need clarity in the face of self-serving confusion, and responsibility in the face of inertia. What you will find in these pages does not try to sugar-coat reality or soften its harshness, but to offer a clear framework for understanding it and, above all, for refusing to resign ourselves to it.

The 10 trends

Climate emergency: The climate emergency demands immediate, transformative action, but political inertia and economic interests are delaying solutions and worsening the impact.

01

Climate emergency

The climate emergency demands immediate, transformative action, but political inertia and economic interests are delaying solutions and worsening the impact.

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Voracious capitalism: Today’s economic model squeezes territories and people as if they were infinite resources, without considering the long-term consequences.

02

Voracious capitalism

Today’s economic model squeezes territories and people as if they were infinite resources, without considering the long-term consequences.

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Elitist impunity: Elite impunity consolidates an architecture of armoured privilege, where power operates outside any accountability.

03

Elitist impunity

Elite impunity consolidates an architecture of armoured privilege, where power operates outside any accountability.

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Widespread corruption: Corruption becomes part of the system’s dynamics, distorting how institutions work and perverting the very idea of the public good.

04

Widespread corruption

Corruption becomes part of the system’s dynamics, distorting how institutions work and perverting the very idea of the public good.

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Living crunch: The cost of living keeps rising, straining household budgets and restricting access to essential goods and services.

05

Living crunch

The cost of living keeps rising, straining household budgets and restricting access to essential goods and services.

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Prolonged conflict: Wars become chronic, turning into prolonged mechanisms of control, destabilisation and fragmentation.

06

Prolonged conflict

Wars become chronic, turning into prolonged mechanisms of control, destabilisation and fragmentation.

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Authoritarian resurgence: Authoritarianism mutates and spreads, legitimised by democratic fatigue and a longing for order in the face of perceived chaos.

07

Authoritarian resurgence

Authoritarianism mutates and spreads, legitimised by democratic fatigue and a longing for order in the face of perceived chaos.

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Rights rollback: Individual freedoms are quietly rolled back, wrapped in rhetoric that promises security while undermining what is fundamental.

08

Rights rollback

Individual freedoms are quietly rolled back, wrapped in rhetoric that promises security while undermining what is fundamental.

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Weaponized racism: Racism is used as a tool of social control, adapting to new narratives to sustain historical inequalities.

09

Weaponized racism

Racism is used as a tool of social control, adapting to new narratives to sustain historical inequalities.

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Silent genocide: The systematic elimination of populations is normalised under pretexts of self-defence and exceptionality, and their voices are silenced by international complicity.

10

Silent genocide

The systematic elimination of populations is normalised under pretexts of self-defence and exceptionality, and their voices are silenced by international complicity.

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